• CosmicSploogeDrizzle@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago
    • Die in a few weeks? No
    • Get more users than reddit? No
    • Be a place in the long run for privacy minded people to escape corporatism and have discussions about any topic? Yes
    • treadful@lemmy.zip
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      1 year ago

      Let’s be real, most of the growth of Reddit over the last 5 or so years haven’t been the type of folks generating good content and discussion anyway. Even if Lemmy gets like 1% of the userbase this place is going to thrive.

      • Vaggumon@lemmy.world
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        1 year ago

        Glad to hear it. I deleted 2 accounts with over 100k karama, and moved fully to Lemmy. I’m here to stay as well. Reddit is dead to me.

        • jay@lemmy.world
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          1 year ago

          100%, 12 year daily reddit user - feels like I’m out of a bad relationship. I moved all my third party apps off three weeks ago and have replaced all my time with Lemmy and the Fediverse.

          I didn’t realize how poorly the experience had degraded - scrolling content mindlessly, most interactions were dull and sometimes weirdly antagonistic.

          Conversely, my experience on Lemmy has been interesting content with more depth, connecting with people in a warm and welcoming way. I don’t expect this to become reddit - I wouldn’t really want it to.

          I am excited for a future here as the third party apps are removed last this week and we can start a new adventure together.

          • Candelestine@lemmy.world
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            1 year ago

            Even if this does become reddit, here at lemmy.world, just move to a different Instance, block lemmy.world, and boom. Problem solved.

            Would not take long to do. I expect many people will do just this. We’re probably going to be one of the most commonly defederated-with Instances, just due to being the largest and thus, spammiest.

            • Margot Robbie@lemmy.world
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              1 year ago

              But also the one with the most content as well.

              Spam control really depends on the ability of the admins and moderation, as well as the quality of the mod tools. Lemmy is nowhere near the size of reddit yet for that to be a problem.

      • Victron@lemmy.world
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        1 year ago

        Same. I’m not going back. Also, Lemmy/kbin have become way more active than before. I hope it gains more traction.

    • nexguy@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      Was using RiF and reddit for 12 years. Been on lemmy for a few weeks and I don’t miss reddit. Certainly not going to try to use the official reddit app. So probably not using reddit even if I wanted to in the future.

  • Ben@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    Hmmm the main question is whether it can get it’s content to show up in search results - this being the main selling point of Reddit and other platforms.

    Right now, if you help someone fix an issue it’s pretty much walled in and unavailable.

    • egeres@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      Yes, getting lemmy’s link high enough on google that it can even be compared to reddit’s is a critical but immensely difficult battle to fight since the latter has 18 years of inertia, I guess it all comes down to a matter of pumping the OC and high quality content consistently for a very long time

    • Snipe_AT@atay.dev
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      1 year ago

      agreed, is there any way to fix this?

      i’m fairly certain that it really just depends on the google web crawlers to find and index pages. but if the posts are public that’s just a matter of time.

      even with reddit, a post has a new URL so takes some time to be indexed by google or other search engines.

      so maybe it’s just a matter of delivering relevant content over time so that lemmy results get preferred over others

    • hbocao@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      Yeah, I was talking to my wife about this.

      Today I can search “whatever reddit”, but with Lemmy-like I have no idea how, since it’s not centralized.

  • FinalBoy1975@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    Lemmy will last because it was already around. I don’t think it will die in a few weeks. Today is my first day using it and I love it. I’m sure anyone who tries it will like it, too.

    • HappycamperNZ@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      Been here a week or so - definitely different but I’m enjoying it. Less mindless scrolling, just good chats.

  • Bleeping Lobster@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    Two things to bear in mind…

    1. Lemmy existed before this current reddit fiasco, so it will exist after

    2. there are a critical mass of users now, and imo the userbase will continue to grow, with more and more unique content added

    3. Android / iOS apps are out, and in development. Mod tools are coming (iirc). As fediverse becomes less technical / easier to use, it’s only going to attract more people

    • whofearsthenight@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      I think it’s likely that we’re only seeing the first wave as well. The ones most affected by third party app shutdowns are the ones that are posting all of the content and doing the moderation. Once the apps go away, it’s likely the most valuable of reddit’s users do as well. I have been on reddit since like 07 I think, and once I can’t use Apollo any longer my use of reddit is effectively gone. I’ll still occasionally browse on desktop, but even then the only way I can tolerate the desktop version is with a bunch of add ons and old.reddit which I assume is next on the block.

      We’ve already seen this on twitter. Now it’s just an echo chamber for nazis, increasingly fewer celebs, and marketers (which, tbh it kinda always has been, it’s just worse now.) Moving over to mastodon wasn’t fun for a week or two, but now there is a critical mass and basically everything I got from twitter I can get from masto now. Twitter still has tons of users and dwarfs masto, but that’s a lot of chaff for not a lot of wheat.

      In terms of apps, some are out, but there is still nothing that comes close to Apollo especially on iOS. With the dev of Sync and I think RIF announcing Lemmy clients, that’s about going to be a done deal. Quite a lot of my regular follows from twitter didn’t move over until Ivory and a couple of other good clients came out, so as soon as there is a comparable set of Lemmy clients, I’d say it’s pretty much done.

      All that said, Reddit’s already a shell of what it was even a few months ago. It’s maybe not as easy to tell, but as someone who’s been there forever, you can tell this is different. And I know personally, even though I used reddit like junkies used meth, I’m now checking rss again, discord for various communities, Lemmy, kbin, and even a few specific forums and so forth.

      Spez running an absolute master class in how to ruin a business.

  • Margot Robbie@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    I don’t think Lemmy will ever get the mainstream attention that reddit has to get big celebrity AMAs, but that may be a good thing, if it stays a genuine place like it is currently, people will come.

    • 𝔼𝕩𝕦𝕤𝕚𝕒@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      I’m leaning on content I’ve seen thus far but- If this becomes the place where content holds people, they will stay. To replace -the other site- Lemmy needs to be the place the general internet comes to for information and community questions. In this early stage people need to cement “this is where to come for answers” with regards to…everything. eli5, me-irl and even ask-reddit needs to come here. We joke about how Listicles hijack Reddit content but that’s a sign of healthy creation at work. It gets the average non-reddit user conscious of the product and to come there when they have a question.

      What needs to happen (if lemmy wants to replace Reddit) is lemmy needs that. It needs to enter the public conscience as an information nexus. To what degree is up for debate of each Instances admin. Beehaw straight said “nope”

      • Margot Robbie@lemmy.world
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        1 year ago

        I don’t think reddit is that important to warrant replacement. Should be building something new and better on top of its ruins.

        But I agree, good original content by passionate people is what makes people stay.

  • sovietafro@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    If lemmy can get the search algorithm to work well, it’ll be good for a decent while I think… I hope for the sake of the internet everything needs to have some form of competition, and if Lemmy truly becomes the new reddit, hopefully we all learn what they did wrong and can make it better so that we as a collective have the best website/forum/memebase that’s humanly possible

  • linuxFan@vlemmy.net
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    1 year ago

    It’s been going for 4 years now. I think the worst case scenario is it falls back to the numbers it had before this reddit incident.

  • Spliffman1@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    In the immortal worlds of Humphrey Bogart when asked these questions in Casablanca : Q: Where were you last night? , A: That’s so long ago I don’t remember. Q: Will I see you tonight? A: I never make plans that far ahead… I am really just enjoying the ride here for as long as it lasts and haven’t even asked myself the question about how long it will last.

  • egeres@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    Definitely will stay around, yet, realistically speaking, I don’t have much expectations about this endeavor even scratching reddit’s monopoly in the next 1 ~ 3 years (I hope I’m mistaken), who knows what will happen in 10 or 20

  • YoBuckStopsHere@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    When Reddit forces “new Reddit” is when the real migration will occur. Reddit is dying more and more every day.

    • s38b35M5@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      But they promised us that old reddit isn’t going anywhere. Surely, we can trust that something won’t happen if they say it won’t happen, right?

      • morgan423@lemmy.world
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        1 year ago

        You can trust that it won’t happen in the next fifteen minutes, probably. I wouldn’t believe much further out than that.

        • s38b35M5@lemmy.world
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          1 year ago

          I think the 3PA devs got about four months, right?

          Reddit in January: we will not charge for the API. Not in the next few years, at least.

          Reddit in April: charges are coming, but they’ll be totally reasonable and based in reality

          Reddit in May: if you want to use the API, you should pay us 29x what we make from customers that don’t use it

  • hendrik@lemmy.ml
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    1 year ago

    I think people will vent and quite a decent percentage will return to reddit eventually. Like it happened with twitter since Elon did his thing. But lemmy will stay. It has been here before all the people migrated from reddit and the fediverse in general will keep having a right to exist. And it will.

    • rexxiteer@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      AFAIK, Mastodon actually did gain a sizeable amount of users that actually stayed, even though the number of users has dropped since the peak.

      I personally think something like Lemmy works better than Mastodon, since content is more important here than the users, which I think makes it more easy to have a self-sustaining community.