I mean, we’ll see what the polls say when the last vote is tallied.
But, as has been pointed out a thousand times in Texas, this isn’t a Red State or a Blue State. It’s a Non-Voting State. Texas regularly posts loosey turnout even in wave years, and that’s by design. Voting is deliberately made frustrating, confusing, dangerous, and meaningless through a variety of mechanisms ranging from felony disenfranchisement/police harassment to broken voting machines/obnoxious mail-in ballot rules to truly henous gerrymandering to outright state takeovers of municipal bodies (Greg Abbott seizing the HISD board and rushing it through privatization being a textbook example).
Idk what’s going to happen in 2026, but I guarantee we’re going to see some extreme fuckery by election day. Whether that rises to the level of Brooks Brothers Riot mostly boils down to how badly the GOP performs. But I only think this state is competitive because of generations of disenfranchisement and voter caging. Absent that, it would look at lot more like North Carolina or Maine.
I mean, we’ll see what the polls say when the last vote is tallied.
But, as has been pointed out a thousand times in Texas, this isn’t a Red State or a Blue State. It’s a Non-Voting State. Texas regularly posts loosey turnout even in wave years, and that’s by design. Voting is deliberately made frustrating, confusing, dangerous, and meaningless through a variety of mechanisms ranging from felony disenfranchisement/police harassment to broken voting machines/obnoxious mail-in ballot rules to truly henous gerrymandering to outright state takeovers of municipal bodies (Greg Abbott seizing the HISD board and rushing it through privatization being a textbook example).
Idk what’s going to happen in 2026, but I guarantee we’re going to see some extreme fuckery by election day. Whether that rises to the level of Brooks Brothers Riot mostly boils down to how badly the GOP performs. But I only think this state is competitive because of generations of disenfranchisement and voter caging. Absent that, it would look at lot more like North Carolina or Maine.